August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 8/14/2019

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The Atlanta Braves are 32-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 26-37 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves\' starter Dallas Keuchel is forecasted to have a better game than Mets\' starter Steven Matz. Dallas Keuchel has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Steven Matz has a 21% chance of a QS. If Dallas Keuchel has a quality start the Braves has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 70%. In Steven Matz quality starts the Mets win 57%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

New York MetsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-37, 41% -1064Record at Home32-25, 56% -259Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves4-6, 40% -216VS New York Mets6-4, 60% 1118Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better30-41, 42% -921vs Team .500 or Better37-32, 54% 1202Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog14-23, 38% -490Record As Home Favorite27-21, 56% -376Atlanta Braves
When Steven Matz Starts11-10, 52% 109When Dallas Keuchel Starts4-6, 40% -276New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-4, 67% 328Record at Home4-6, 40% -295New York Mets
VS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesVS New York Mets0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% 189vs Team .500 or Better9-8, 53% 5New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 293Record As Home Favorite3-5, 38% -293New York Mets
When Steven Matz Starts3-2, 60% 56When Dallas Keuchel Starts1-4, 20% -324New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD36-25, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME31-23, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Steven Matz STARTS10-10, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Dallas Keuchel STARTS2-8, 20% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 36-27, 57% +404 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 31-26, 54% -345 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-7, 42% -254 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -67

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 37-26, 59% +183 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 29-28, 51% -885 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-6, 50% -137 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-6, 40% -295

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 33-23, 59% + 770 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 30-18, 62% + 1020 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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