August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals 8/14/2019

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The Washington Nationals are 32-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 23-33 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Stephen Strasburg is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Trevor Bauer. Stephen Strasburg has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Bauer has a 29% chance of a QS. If Stephen Strasburg has a quality start the Nationals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 67%. In Trevor Bauer quality starts the Reds win 55%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Phillip Ervin who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 48% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Cincinnati RedsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-33, 41% -594Record at Home32-25, 56% -440Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals1-3, 25% -194VS Cincinnati Reds3-1, 75% 188Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better36-44, 45% -466vs Team .500 or Better29-37, 44% -1043Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog19-30, 39% -593Record As Home Favorite29-17, 63% 14Washington Nationals
When Trevor Bauer Starts14-13, 52% -342When Stephen Strasburg Starts15-9, 62% 173Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Cincinnati RedsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% -8Record at Home6-5, 55% -73Cincinnati Reds
VS Washington Nationals0-1, 0% -100VS Cincinnati Reds1-0, 100% 90Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better8-11, 42% -248vs Team .500 or Better10-10, 50% 53Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog5-6, 45% -8Record As Home Favorite5-2, 71% 128Washington Nationals
When Trevor Bauer Starts2-3, 40% -161When Stephen Strasburg Starts3-2, 60% 17Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-32, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-28, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-44, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-33, 58% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Bauer STARTS13-13, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS14-10, 58% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 29-27, 52% +95 Washington Nationals Home Games: 33-24, 58% +658 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-6, 45% -191 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-7, 36% -231

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 29-27, 52% -483 Washington Nationals Home Games: 34-23, 60% -116 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-6, 45% -244 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-5, 55% -142

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 22-31, 42% -1210 Washington Nationals Home Games: 30-26, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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