August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies 8/14/2019

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Philadelphia Phillies are 35-25 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 23-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies\' starter Aaron Nola is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Cole Hamels. Aaron Nola has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cole Hamels has a 30% chance of a QS. If Aaron Nola has a quality start the Phillies has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 55%. In Cole Hamels quality starts the Cubs win 69%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Anthony Rizzo who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago CubsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-35, 40% -1462Record at Home35-25, 58% 0Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies2-2, 50% -55VS Chicago Cubs2-2, 50% 13Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better33-31, 52% -320vs Team .500 or Better36-36, 50% -428Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog7-19, 27% -1100Record As Home Favorite33-20, 62% 237Philadelphia Phillies
When Cole Hamels Starts13-6, 68% 456When Aaron Nola Starts16-9, 64% 341Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago CubsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -356Record at Home6-7, 46% -179Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 41vs Team .500 or Better7-10, 41% -328Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -91Record As Home Favorite4-3, 57% -42Philadelphia Phillies
When Cole Hamels Starts2-0, 100% 148When Aaron Nola Starts4-1, 80% 169Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD29-22, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-29, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-5, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Cole Hamels STARTS9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Aaron Nola STARTS15-9, 62% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 29-29, 50% -675 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 30-30, 50% -574 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-5, 62% +180 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-7, 46% -132

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 35-23, 60% +657 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 37-23, 62% +303 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-4, 69% +421 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-5, 62% +39

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 26-22, 54% + 180 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 22-29, 43% -990 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio