August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Indians 8/14/2019

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The Cleveland Indians are 39-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 32-26 on the road this season. The Indians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Indians\' starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox\' starter Brian Johnson. Shane Bieber has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brian Johnson has a 17% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Indians has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 67%. In Brian Johnson quality starts the Red Sox win 62%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Carlos Santana who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 54% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Boston Red SoxRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-26, 55% -319Record at Home39-24, 62% 137Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians1-3, 25% -251VS Boston Red Sox3-1, 75% 280Cleveland Indians
vs Team .500 or Better23-36, 39% -1543vs Team Under .50050-22, 69% 785Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog6-8, 43% -56Record As Home Favorite33-19, 63% -63Boston Red Sox
When Brian Johnson Starts2-1, 67% 22When Shane Bieber Starts17-7, 71% 464Cleveland Indians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Boston Red SoxRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -471Record at Home13-4, 76% 402Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians0-1, 0% -100VS Boston Red Sox1-0, 100% 101Cleveland Indians
vs Team .500 or Better8-10, 44% -401vs Team .500 or Better6-4, 60% 151Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog1-4, 20% -278Record As Home Favorite11-2, 85% 376Cleveland Indians
When Brian Johnson Starts1-0, 100% 57When Shane Bieber Starts4-1, 80% 131Cleveland Indians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD35-20, 64% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-33, 45% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-10, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-41, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-33, 58% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brian Johnson STARTS3-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Shane Bieber STARTS6-17, 26% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 29-29, 50% -257 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 26-37, 41% -1413 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-3, 70% +444 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 9-8, 53% -240

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 36-22, 62% +323 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 41-22, 65% +506 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 7-3, 70% +234 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 14-3, 82% +504

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 33-21, 61% + 990 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 29-22, 57% + 480 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 7-9, 44% -290

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