August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees 8/14/2019

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The New York Yankees are 44-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 20-37 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter J.A. Happ is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles\' starter Dylan Bundy. J.A. Happ has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dylan Bundy has a 21% chance of a QS. If J.A. Happ has a quality start the Yankees has a 89% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 78%. In Dylan Bundy quality starts the Orioles win 59%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Trey Mancini who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 35% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Baltimore OriolesRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-37, 35% -281Record at Home44-17, 72% 1083New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees1-15, 6% -1190VS Baltimore Orioles15-1, 94% 580New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better19-56, 25% -2084vs Team Under .50045-18, 71% 653New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog20-37, 35% -281Record As Home Favorite39-14, 74% 889New York Yankees
When Dylan Bundy Starts6-16, 27% -757When J.A. Happ Starts15-7, 68% 375New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Baltimore OriolesRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% 208Record at Home11-3, 79% 426New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-5, 0% -500VS Baltimore Orioles5-0, 100% 218New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better5-12, 29% -333vs Team Under .50011-4, 73% 300New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog5-6, 45% 208Record As Home Favorite10-3, 77% 328New York Yankees
When Dylan Bundy Starts2-2, 50% 65When J.A. Happ Starts3-2, 60% 31Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore OriolesRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-26, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-29, 49% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-37, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dylan Bundy STARTS8-12, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN J.A. Happ STARTS11-11, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 34-23, 60% +909 New York Yankees Home Games: 41-20, 67% +999 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 7-4, 64% +271 New York Yankees Home Games: 11-3, 79% +563

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 38-19, 67% +35 New York Yankees Home Games: 42-19, 69% +723 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-5, 55% -201 New York Yankees Home Games: 11-3, 79% +426

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 25-17, 60% + 630 New York Yankees Home Games: 27-26, 51% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 New York Yankees Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570

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