August 14, 2019 6:40 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies 8/14/2019

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The Colorado Rockies are 29-28 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 32-31 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Freeland has a 23% chance of a QS and Robbie Ray a 24% chance. If Kyle Freeland has a quality start the Rockies has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 51%. If Robbie Ray has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Nolan Arenado who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 55% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-31, 51% 557Record at Home29-28, 51% -490Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Colorado Rockies6-8, 43% -242VS Arizona Diamondbacks8-6, 57% 224Colorado Rockies
vs Team Under .50028-26, 52% -147vs Team Under .50025-23, 52% -417Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite10-6, 62% 201Record as Home Underdog6-11, 35% -372Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts13-12, 52% 84When Kyle Freeland Starts7-12, 37% -522Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-6, 50% 177Record at Home3-8, 27% -520Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Colorado Rockies1-0, 100% 106VS Arizona Diamondbacks0-1, 0% -100Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team Under .5008-5, 62% 172vs Team .500 or Better6-17, 26% -870Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite2-3, 40% -134Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33% -88Colorado Rockies
When Robbie Ray Starts4-2, 67% 235When Kyle Freeland Starts1-4, 20% -328Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD33-28, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME32-23, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-47, 41% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS11-13, 46% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS10-8, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 33-30, 52% -466 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 33-24, 58% +584 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-7, 42% -379 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 7-4, 64% +380

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 35-28, 56% -221 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 33-24, 58% +25 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-8, 33% -541 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 4-7, 36% -394

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 27-28, 49% -380 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 21-30, 41% -1200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 580

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