July 04, 2022 9:48 AM CDT

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals 7/4/2022

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The Washington Nationals are 14-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 15-24 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Patrick Corbin is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins\' starter Braxton Garrett. Patrick Corbin has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Braxton Garrett has a 24% chance of a QS. If Patrick Corbin has a quality start the Nationals has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 61%. In Braxton Garrett quality starts the Marlins win 72%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Josh Bell who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Garrett Cooper who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Miami MarlinsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-24, 38% -696Record at Home14-26, 35% -990Miami Marlins
VS Washington Nationals8-1, 89% 376VS Miami Marlins1-8, 11% -644Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .50015-11, 58% -50vs Team .500 or Better12-27, 31% -704Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite4-3, 57% -9Record as Home Underdog7-23, 23% -1241Miami Marlins
When Braxton Garrett Starts1-2, 33% -132When Patrick Corbin Starts4-12, 25% -723Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Miami MarlinsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -97Record at Home5-9, 36% -296Miami Marlins
VS Washington Nationals3-0, 100% 162VS Miami Marlins0-3, 0% -300Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .5006-0, 100% 352vs Team .500 or Better4-12, 25% -630Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 84Record as Home Underdog3-8, 27% -350Miami Marlins
When Braxton Garrett Starts1-2, 33% -132When Patrick Corbin Starts3-2, 60% 189Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami MarlinsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-22, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-20, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-44, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Braxton Garrett STARTS0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS5-10, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 25-14, 64% +684 Washington Nationals Home Games: 17-23, 42% -432 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-6, 54% -24 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-8, 43% -67

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 29-10, 74% +1097 Washington Nationals Home Games: 26-14, 65% +314 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-5, 62% -21 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-6, 57% -144

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 19-15, 56% + 250 Washington Nationals Home Games: 24-11, 69% + 1190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150

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