July 30, 2022 3:58 AM CDT

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/30/2022

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 31-18 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 23-28 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays\' starter Corey Kluber is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians\' starter Zach Plesac. Corey Kluber has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zach Plesac has a 34% chance of a QS. If Corey Kluber has a quality start the Rays has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 69%. In Zach Plesac quality starts the Guardians win 62%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Harold Ramirez who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-28, 45% -221Record at Home31-18, 63% 366Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better23-28, 45% -39vs Team .500 or Better35-30, 54% -46Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog13-19, 41% -84Record As Home Favorite25-13, 66% 169Tampa Bay Rays
When Zach Plesac Starts8-12, 40% -201When Corey Kluber Starts11-9, 55% 27Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-9, 25% -585Record at Home6-1, 86% 384Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% -57vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -304Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -160Record As Home Favorite4-1, 80% 185Tampa Bay Rays
When Zach Plesac Starts1-3, 25% -247When Corey Kluber Starts3-2, 60% 99Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-24, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-24, 48% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-34, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-38, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Zach Plesac STARTS9-11, 45% OverOVER-UNDER IN Corey Kluber STARTS6-14, 30% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 19-32, 37% -977 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 24-25, 49% -384 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-5, 58% +377 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-2, 71% +250

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 25-26, 49% -831 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 32-17, 65% +482 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 6-6, 50% -85 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-2, 71% +197

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 24-25, 49% -350 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 22-18, 55% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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