The Toronto Blue Jays are 24-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 15-18 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Shane McClanahan. Kevin Gausman has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Shane McClanahan has a 49% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 66%. In Shane McClanahan quality starts the Rays win 56%. He has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Ji-Man Choi who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-18, 45% -558 | Record at Home | 24-15, 62% 21 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 2-2, 50% 20 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-2, 50% -20 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-16, 43% -557 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-23, 48% -518 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-8, 27% -470 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-13, 63% -33 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Shane McClanahan Starts | 8-5, 62% 6 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 8-7, 53% -197 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -581 | Record at Home | 8-7, 53% -194 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-0, 100% 68 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -404 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-5, 50% -173 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-4, 0% -400 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-6, 54% -228 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Shane McClanahan Starts | 3-2, 60% -49 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 1-4, 20% -344 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-16, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-17, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 12-2, 86% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-30, 61% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Shane McClanahan STARTS | 2-10, 17% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 15-18, 45% -159 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 22-17, 56% +189 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-5, 55% +171 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 8-7, 53% +261
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 19-14, 58% +136 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 23-16, 59% -213 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-3, 73% +301 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-8, 47% -428
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 14-14, 50% -140 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 14-18, 44% -580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270
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