July 18, 2025 11:45 AM EST

Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies 7/18/2025

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The Colorado Rockies are 10-35 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 20-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Chris Paddack is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Kyle Freeland. Chris Paddack has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 33% chance of a QS. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Twins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 57%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 72%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Thairo Estrada who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-28, 42% -1026Record at Home10-35, 22% -1905Minnesota Twins
VS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50024-17, 59% 101vs Team .500 or Better8-47, 15% -3194Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite10-7, 59% -32Record as Home Underdog9-33, 21% -1794Minnesota Twins
When Chris Paddack Starts6-12, 33% -588When Kyle Freeland Starts3-11, 21% -677Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -230Record at Home3-9, 25% -482Minnesota Twins
VS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-1, 50% -6vs Team Under .5003-5, 38% -102Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -119Record as Home Underdog3-8, 27% -382Minnesota Twins
When Chris Paddack Starts2-2, 50% -23When Kyle Freeland Starts1-0, 100% 158Colorado Rockies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDColorado RockiesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-27, 41% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-23, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-6, 25% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-40, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-40, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS5-9, 36% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 29-19, 60% +586 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 26-19, 58% -95 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -27 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 6-6, 50% -93

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 33-15, 69% +1062 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 34-11, 76% +732 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-4, 50% -118 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-3, 75% +210

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 23-14, 62% + 760 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 23-21, 52% -10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470

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