July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox 7/17/2019

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The Boston Red Sox are 22-24 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 17-30 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Eduardo Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Aaron Sanchez. Eduardo Rodriguez has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Sanchez has a 16% chance of a QS. If Eduardo Rodriguez has a quality start the Red Sox has a 89% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 73%. In Aaron Sanchez quality starts the Blue Jays win 63%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Smoak who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 40% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-30, 36% -695Record at Home22-24, 48% -1141Toronto Blue Jays
VS Boston Red Sox5-8, 38% 84VS Toronto Blue Jays8-5, 62% -32Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better21-37, 36% -593vs Team Under .50034-18, 65% 2Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog14-28, 33% -751Record As Home Favorite21-20, 51% -881Toronto Blue Jays
When Aaron Sanchez Starts5-15, 25% -958When Eduardo Rodriguez Starts13-5, 72% 370Boston Red Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -182Record at Home5-7, 42% -434Toronto Blue Jays
VS Boston Red Sox3-4, 43% 148VS Toronto Blue Jays4-3, 57% -71Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better5-12, 29% -308vs Team Under .5009-4, 69% 60Boston Red Sox
Record As Road Underdog3-7, 30% -182Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -234Toronto Blue Jays
When Aaron Sanchez Starts0-5, 0% -500When Eduardo Rodriguez Starts3-1, 75% 107Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-24, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-17, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-3, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-29, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Sanchez STARTS10-10, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Eduardo Rodriguez STARTS15-2, 88% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 25-22, 53% +241 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 28-18, 61% +908 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-2, 80% +373 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-4, 67% +482

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 29-18, 62% -125 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 23-23, 50% -973 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-3, 70% -12 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-7, 42% -429

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 26-14, 65% + 1060 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 26-16, 62% + 840 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470

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