July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees 7/17/2019

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The New York Yankees are 33-15 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 30-17 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter Domingo German is forecasted to have a better game than Rays\' starter Yonny Chirinos. Domingo German has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Yonny Chirinos has a 31% chance of a QS. If Domingo German has a quality start the Yankees has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 71%. In Yonny Chirinos quality starts the Rays win 61%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 55% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-17, 64% 729Record at Home33-15, 69% 557Tampa Bay Rays
VS New York Yankees5-9, 36% -471VS Tampa Bay Rays9-5, 64% 374New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better26-28, 48% -430vs Team .500 or Better24-14, 63% 631New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog11-6, 65% 589Record As Home Favorite29-12, 71% 461Tampa Bay Rays
When Yonny Chirinos Starts5-6, 45% -231When Domingo German Starts9-3, 75% 310New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -117Record at Home11-3, 79% 334New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees3-5, 38% -221VS Tampa Bay Rays5-3, 62% 109New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better8-10, 44% -327vs Team .500 or Better7-3, 70% 272New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 7Record As Home Favorite10-2, 83% 334New York Yankees
When Yonny Chirinos Starts1-4, 20% -333When Domingo German Starts1-0, 100% 66New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay RaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-24, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-25, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-5, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-45, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Yonny Chirinos STARTS5-6, 45% OverOVER-UNDER IN Domingo German STARTS4-7, 36% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 24-23, 51% -856 New York Yankees Home Games: 30-18, 62% +336 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 4-10, 29% -719 New York Yankees Home Games: 7-7, 50% -334

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 28-19, 60% +196 New York Yankees Home Games: 31-17, 65% +197 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-6, 57% +18 New York Yankees Home Games: 9-5, 64% -5

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 16-22, 42% -820 New York Yankees Home Games: 19-23, 45% -630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60

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