July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics 7/17/2019

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The Oakland Athletics are 28-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 20-28 on the road this season. The Athletics have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics\' starter Homer Bailey is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners\' starter Erik Swanson. Homer Bailey has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Erik Swanson has a 15% chance of a QS. If Homer Bailey has a quality start the Athletics has a 92% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 74%. In Erik Swanson quality starts the Mariners win 61%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Matt Olson who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Domingo Santana who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 42% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Seattle MarinersRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-28, 42% -436Record at Home28-20, 58% 220Oakland Athletics
VS Oakland Athletics7-6, 54% 202VS Seattle Mariners6-7, 46% -322Seattle Mariners
vs Team .500 or Better29-52, 36% -1797vs Team Under .50022-17, 56% -323Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog15-27, 36% -755Record As Home Favorite19-13, 59% -82Oakland Athletics
When Erik Swanson Starts1-5, 17% -390When Homer Bailey Starts8-11, 42% -125Oakland Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oakland Athletics

Seattle MarinersRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-7, 22% -400Record at Home10-3, 77% 368Oakland Athletics
VS Oakland Athletics1-2, 33% -79VS Seattle Mariners2-1, 67% 35Oakland Athletics
vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -461vs Team Under .5008-1, 89% 303Oakland Athletics
Record As Road Underdog2-7, 22% -400Record As Home Favorite7-2, 78% 157Oakland Athletics
When Erik Swanson Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Homer Bailey Starts2-3, 40% -46Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-16, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-25, 47% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-38, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-40, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Erik Swanson STARTS5-1, 83% OverOVER-UNDER IN Homer Bailey STARTS10-7, 59% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 23-25, 48% -769 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 21-27, 44% -668 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 2-7, 22% -603 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 5-8, 38% -450

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 34-14, 71% +889 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 24-24, 50% -682 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 7-2, 78% +128 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 7-6, 54% -240

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 27-15, 64% + 1050 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 19-20, 49% -300 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60

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