July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/17/2019

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 27-19 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 22-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Daniel Poncedeleon has a 30% chance of a QS and Chris Archer a 25% chance. If Daniel Poncedeleon has a quality start the Cardinals has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 57%. If Chris Archer has a quality start the Pirates has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Josh Bell who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-27, 45% 154Record at Home27-19, 59% 334St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals3-4, 43% 9VS Pittsburgh Pirates4-3, 57% 49St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better22-34, 39% -748vs Team .500 or Better22-25, 47% -359St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog18-27, 40% -182Record As Home Favorite19-17, 53% -337Pittsburgh Pirates
When Chris Archer Starts7-9, 44% -191When Daniel Poncedeleon Starts3-0, 100% 249St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -190Record at Home7-6, 54% -78St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-1, 0% -100VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-0, 100% 70St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better0-1, 0% -100vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -154Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog3-7, 30% -190Record As Home Favorite5-6, 45% -273Pittsburgh Pirates
When Chris Archer Starts3-1, 75% 249When Daniel Poncedeleon Starts1-0, 100% 56Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-23, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-27, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-10, 23% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-41, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Archer STARTS9-6, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN Daniel Poncedeleon STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-18, 63% +631 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 21-25, 46% -742 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-5, 50% -242 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-9, 31% -620

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 31-18, 63% +279 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 20-26, 43% -1094 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-3, 70% +85 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-8, 38% -450

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 21-20, 51% -100 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 18-22, 45% -620 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250

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