July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/17/2019

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 26-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 29-19 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Kenta Maeda is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Nick Pivetta. Kenta Maeda has a 25% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nick Pivetta has a 19% chance of a QS. If Kenta Maeda has a quality start the Dodgers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 64%. In Nick Pivetta quality starts the Phillies win 62%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 48% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Cody Bellinger who averaged 3.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 71% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-21, 55% -251Record at Home29-19, 60% 79Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies4-0, 100% 223VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-4, 0% -400Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better20-16, 56% -173vs Team .500 or Better22-25, 47% -603Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite24-18, 57% -199Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200Los Angeles Dodgers
When Kenta Maeda Starts10-8, 56% -209When Nick Pivetta Starts6-7, 46% -263Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -7Record at Home5-6, 45% -240Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Philadelphia Phillies1-0, 100% 57VS Los Angeles Dodgers0-1, 0% -100Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team Under .50010-7, 59% -196vs Team .500 or Better2-8, 20% -614Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite4-4, 50% -155Record as Home Underdog0-2, 0% -200Los Angeles Dodgers
When Kenta Maeda Starts2-2, 50% -96When Nick Pivetta Starts1-4, 20% -338Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-21, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-24, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-3, 70% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-40, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kenta Maeda STARTS9-8, 53% OverOVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS7-5, 58% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 20-27, 43% -1637 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 24-24, 50% -542 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +297 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-8, 27% -574

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 24-23, 51% -610 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 30-18, 62% +321 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-5, 55% -35 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% +89

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 20-24, 45% -640 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 16-24, 40% -1040 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio