July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels 7/17/2019

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The Houston Astros are 26-22 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 26-21 at home. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Angels\' starter Felix Pena. Gerrit Cole has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Felix Pena has a 24% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Astros has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 70%. In Felix Pena quality starts the Angels win 65%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Tommy La Stella who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 42% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 79% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-22, 54% -478Record at Home26-21, 55% 2Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels4-2, 67% 25VS Houston Astros2-4, 33% -131Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better36-25, 59% -212vs Team .500 or Better25-33, 43% -555Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite25-17, 60% -92Record as Home Underdog6-6, 50% 115Los Angeles Angels
When Gerrit Cole Starts13-7, 65% -82When Felix Pena Starts5-5, 50% 9Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% -513Record at Home7-3, 70% 176Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels2-2, 50% -91VS Houston Astros2-2, 50% 69Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better6-12, 33% -858vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% -75Los Angeles Angels
Record as Road Favorite4-5, 44% -227Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 105Los Angeles Angels
When Gerrit Cole Starts3-2, 60% -84When Felix Pena Starts0-1, 0% -100Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-24, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-21, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Gerrit Cole STARTS10-10, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Felix Pena STARTS3-7, 30% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 24-24, 50% -1184 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 20-27, 43% -828 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-8, 43% -306 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 2-8, 20% -596

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 24-24, 50% -863 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 26-21, 55% -147 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-8, 43% -375 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-4, 60% -29

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 24-24, 50% -240 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 17-21, 45% -610 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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