July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians 7/17/2019

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The Cleveland Indians are 27-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 16-28 on the road this season. The Indians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Indians\' starter Mike Clevinger is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers\' starter Spencer Turnbull. Mike Clevinger has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Turnbull has a 36% chance of a QS. If Mike Clevinger has a quality start the Indians has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 63%. In Spencer Turnbull quality starts the Tigers win 67%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Carlos Santana who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-28, 36% -490Record at Home27-20, 57% -212Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians1-9, 10% -779VS Detroit Tigers9-1, 90% 429Cleveland Indians
vs Team .500 or Better12-41, 23% -2135vs Team Under .50037-19, 66% 356Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog15-26, 37% -378Record As Home Favorite23-17, 58% -386Detroit Tigers
When Spencer Turnbull Starts2-14, 12% -1157When Mike Clevinger Starts4-3, 57% -51Cleveland Indians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Indians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-8, 27% -439Record at Home7-3, 70% 92Cleveland Indians
VS Cleveland Indians0-4, 0% -400VS Detroit Tigers4-0, 100% 215Cleveland Indians
vs Team .500 or Better2-13, 13% -1007vs Team Under .50010-3, 77% 256Cleveland Indians
Record As Road Underdog3-8, 27% -439Record As Home Favorite7-3, 70% 92Cleveland Indians
When Spencer Turnbull Starts0-3, 0% -300When Mike Clevinger Starts2-3, 40% -173Cleveland Indians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland IndiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-22, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-23, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-2, 82% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-33, 58% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Turnbull STARTS6-10, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Mike Clevinger STARTS2-5, 29% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 28-16, 64% +1752 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 18-29, 38% -1120 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 9-2, 82% +740 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 8-2, 80% +368

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 30-14, 68% +694 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 28-19, 60% +55 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 9-2, 82% +447 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 8-2, 80% +368

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 21-17, 55% + 230 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 22-14, 61% + 660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Cleveland Indians Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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