July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs 7/17/2019

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Chicago Cubs are 32-17 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 19-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Yu Darvish is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Sonny Gray. Yu Darvish has a 34% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sonny Gray has a 27% chance of a QS. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Cubs has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 58%. In Sonny Gray quality starts the Reds win 62%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Phillip Ervin who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-27, 41% -468Record at Home32-17, 65% 610Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs7-3, 70% 463VS Cincinnati Reds3-7, 30% -453Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better27-33, 45% -409vs Team .500 or Better22-23, 49% -423Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog15-24, 38% -467Record As Home Favorite27-15, 64% 330Chicago Cubs
When Sonny Gray Starts9-8, 53% 27When Yu Darvish Starts7-11, 39% -520Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-6, 40% -189Record at Home8-6, 57% -18Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs3-1, 75% 223VS Cincinnati Reds1-3, 25% -190Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .50012-6, 67% 667vs Team .500 or Better7-8, 47% -264Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog3-5, 38% -161Record As Home Favorite7-5, 58% -17Chicago Cubs
When Sonny Gray Starts3-1, 75% 190When Yu Darvish Starts1-3, 25% -238Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-27, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-25, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-44, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-39, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS6-10, 38% OverOVER-UNDER IN Yu Darvish STARTS9-7, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 24-22, 52% +186 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-21, 57% -31 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-6, 40% -264 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-6, 57% +37

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 24-22, 52% -339 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 30-19, 61% +251 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-6, 40% -306 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-5, 64% +194

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 18-27, 40% -1170 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 24-25, 49% -350 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-5, 64% + 350

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio