July 17, 2019 2:22 PM CDT

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers 7/17/2019

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-21 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 30-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Chase Anderson has a 31% chance of a QS and Dallas Keuchel a 26% chance. If Chase Anderson has a quality start the Brewers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 62%. If Dallas Keuchel has a quality start the Braves has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-18, 62% 1913Record at Home28-21, 57% -35Atlanta Braves
VS Milwaukee Brewers3-1, 75% 138VS Atlanta Braves1-3, 25% -218Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better20-17, 54% 155vs Team .500 or Better21-23, 48% -355Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog11-13, 46% 959Record As Home Favorite24-16, 60% 69Atlanta Braves
When Dallas Keuchel Starts3-2, 60% 48When Chase Anderson Starts5-8, 38% -382Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta BravesRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-4, 71% 1515Record at Home6-8, 43% -415Atlanta Braves
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-0, 100% 88VS Atlanta Braves0-1, 0% -100Atlanta Braves
vs Team Under .50014-6, 70% 1478vs Team .500 or Better7-11, 39% -583Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43% 914Record As Home Favorite5-6, 45% -308Atlanta Braves
When Dallas Keuchel Starts3-2, 60% 48When Chase Anderson Starts1-4, 20% -349Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-23, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-22, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-42, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dallas Keuchel STARTS0-5, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Chase Anderson STARTS8-5, 62% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 33-15, 69% +1115 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 29-20, 59% +368 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 11-3, 79% +1272 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -149

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 33-15, 69% +1139 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 31-18, 63% +551 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 11-3, 79% +675 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-8, 43% -415

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 23-21, 52% -10 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40

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