July 12, 2019 2:57 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/12/2019

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The Washington Nationals are 21-22 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 28-16 at home. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Nick Pivetta has a 26% chance of a QS and Stephen Strasburg a 31% chance. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Phillies has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 47%. If Stephen Strasburg has a quality start the Nationals has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 2.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Washington NationalsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-22, 49% -452Record at Home28-16, 64% 291Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies7-4, 64% 265VS Washington Nationals4-7, 36% -337Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better20-24, 45% -688vs Team .500 or Better24-25, 49% -391Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite12-9, 57% -149Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesPhiladelphia Phillies
When Stephen Strasburg Starts11-7, 61% 84When Nick Pivetta Starts6-6, 50% -163Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Washington NationalsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-1, 83% 154Record at Home4-4, 50% -128Washington Nationals
VS Philadelphia Phillies3-0, 100% 175VS Washington Nationals0-3, 0% -300Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50015-4, 79% 355vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -509Washington Nationals
Record as Road Favorite5-1, 83% 154Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesWashington Nationals
When Stephen Strasburg Starts3-1, 75% 54When Nick Pivetta Starts1-4, 20% -338Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-17, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-21, 48% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Stephen Strasburg STARTS9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS7-4, 64% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 17-26, 40% -1559 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 23-21, 52% -330 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-2, 67% -113 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-6, 25% -462

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 23-20, 53% -429 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 27-17, 61% +204 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-1, 83% +154 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-4, 50% -128

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 23-17, 58% + 430 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 16-20, 44% -600 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20

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