July 12, 2019 2:57 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees 7/12/2019

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The New York Yankees are 31-13 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 16-27 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter James Paxton is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Aaron Sanchez. James Paxton has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Sanchez has a 12% chance of a QS. If James Paxton has a quality start the Yankees has a 93% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 80%. In Aaron Sanchez quality starts the Blue Jays win 55%. He has a 7% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 86% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Smoak who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 31% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-27, 37% -609Record at Home31-13, 70% 679New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees2-4, 33% -72VS Toronto Blue Jays4-2, 67% -18New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better20-33, 38% -427vs Team Under .50034-15, 69% 467New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog13-25, 34% -665Record As Home Favorite27-10, 73% 583New York Yankees
When Aaron Sanchez Starts5-14, 26% -858When James Paxton Starts9-6, 60% -56New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% 61Record at Home9-1, 90% 456New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-3, 0% -300VS Toronto Blue Jays3-0, 100% 131New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% -222vs Team Under .50014-6, 70% 307New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -105Record As Home Favorite8-0, 100% 456New York Yankees
When Aaron Sanchez Starts0-5, 0% -500When James Paxton Starts3-2, 60% -58New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-21, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-22, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-29, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-34, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Sanchez STARTS10-9, 53% OverOVER-UNDER IN James Paxton STARTS9-5, 64% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 22-21, 51% +211 New York Yankees Home Games: 28-16, 64% +458 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-4, 64% +122 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -212

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 26-17, 60% -155 New York Yankees Home Games: 29-15, 66% +319 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-5, 55% -263 New York Yankees Home Games: 7-3, 70% +117

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 24-13, 65% + 970 New York Yankees Home Games: 17-22, 44% -720 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150

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