July 12, 2019 2:57 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs 7/12/2019

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The Chicago Cubs are 29-16 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 22-23 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Yu Darvish is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Chris Archer. Yu Darvish has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chris Archer has a 24% chance of a QS. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Cubs has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 67%. In Chris Archer quality starts the Pirates win 61%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Anthony Rizzo who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Josh Bell who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-23, 49% 554Record at Home29-16, 64% 537Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Chicago Cubs4-3, 57% 163VS Pittsburgh Pirates3-4, 43% -165Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team .500 or Better29-37, 44% -247vs Team .500 or Better27-28, 49% -485Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog18-23, 44% 218Record As Home Favorite24-14, 63% 257Chicago Cubs
When Chris Archer Starts7-8, 47% -91When Yu Darvish Starts6-11, 35% -582Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% 99Record at Home5-5, 50% -91Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Chicago Cubs3-1, 75% 226VS Pittsburgh Pirates1-3, 25% -218Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50011-7, 61% 588vs Team .500 or Better5-10, 33% -477Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog4-6, 40% 14Record As Home Favorite4-4, 50% -90Pittsburgh Pirates
When Chris Archer Starts4-0, 100% 434When Yu Darvish Starts1-3, 25% -140Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-21, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-24, 47% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-39, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Chris Archer STARTS9-5, 64% OverOVER-UNDER IN Yu Darvish STARTS9-6, 60% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 29-16, 64% +715 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 26-19, 58% +53 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-4, 64% -52 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-4, 60% +121

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 27-18, 60% +36 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 27-18, 60% +178 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-4, 64% +33 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-4, 60% +121

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 19-18, 51% -80 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 21-24, 47% -540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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