July 12, 2019 2:57 AM CDT

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers 7/12/2019

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The Houston Astros are 24-20 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 29-17 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Jesse Chavez. Gerrit Cole has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jesse Chavez has a 31% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Astros has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 61%. In Jesse Chavez quality starts the Rangers win 64%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Joey Gallo who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 44% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 76% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Houston AstrosRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-20, 55% -397Record at Home29-17, 63% 1365Texas Rangers
VS Texas Rangers6-5, 55% -217VS Houston Astros5-6, 45% 226Texas Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better31-24, 56% -421vs Team .500 or Better19-26, 42% 89Texas Rangers
Record as Road Favorite23-15, 61% -11Record as Home Underdog16-9, 64% 1257Texas Rangers
When Gerrit Cole Starts13-6, 68% 18When Jesse Chavez Starts2-3, 40% -126Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Houston AstrosRECORDTexas RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -432Record at Home6-5, 55% 36Texas Rangers
VS Texas Rangers0-1, 0% -100VS Houston Astros1-0, 100% 116Texas Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better4-10, 29% -777vs Team .500 or Better6-9, 40% -272Texas Rangers
Record as Road Favorite2-3, 40% -146Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% 32Texas Rangers
When Gerrit Cole Starts4-1, 80% 52When Jesse Chavez Starts1-2, 33% -132Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDTexas RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-24, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-25, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-32, 59% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Gerrit Cole STARTS9-10, 47% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jesse Chavez STARTS3-2, 60% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-22, 50% -1157 Texas Rangers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -272 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-6, 40% -279 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-5, 55% -3

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-22, 50% -782 Texas Rangers Home Games: 26-20, 57% +82 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-6, 40% -294 Texas Rangers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +154

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 20-24, 45% -640 Texas Rangers Home Games: 19-19, 50% -190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Texas Rangers Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270

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