July 12, 2019 2:57 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals 7/12/2019

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 24-18 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 25-23 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Adam Wainwright is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Robbie Ray. Adam Wainwright has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Robbie Ray has a 28% chance of a QS. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 58%. In Robbie Ray quality starts the Diamondbacks win 61%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-23, 52% 468Record at Home24-18, 57% 192Arizona Diamondbacks
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better28-30, 48% 109vs Team Under .50019-13, 59% 252St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog17-21, 45% 33Record As Home Favorite17-16, 52% -381Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts8-10, 44% -263When Adam Wainwright Starts7-9, 44% -308Arizona Diamondbacks

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% -47Record at Home4-5, 44% -220Arizona Diamondbacks
VS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesVS Arizona Diamondbacks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 78vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -319Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -288Record As Home Favorite3-5, 38% -317Arizona Diamondbacks
When Robbie Ray Starts1-4, 20% -315When Adam Wainwright Starts1-2, 33% -118St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD27-20, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-23, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-41, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS9-9, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Adam Wainwright STARTS5-10, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 28-20, 58% +213 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 21-21, 50% -342 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 9-2, 82% +451 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -220

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 31-17, 65% +620 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 19-23, 45% -864 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-3, 73% +243 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -220

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 23-20, 53% + 100 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 18-20, 47% -400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30

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