The New York Mets are 19-25 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 20-24 at home. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Michael Wacha has a 51% chance of a QS and Kodai Senga a 55% chance. If Michael Wacha has a quality start the Royals has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 48%. If Kodai Senga has a quality start the Mets has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| New York Mets | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-25, 43% -962 | Record at Home | 20-24, 45% -800 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 27-20, 57% -557 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-32, 38% -760 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 11-12, 48% -556 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-9, 44% -111 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Kodai Senga Starts | 9-4, 69% 119 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 8-10, 44% -147 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-8, 11% -706 | Record at Home | 1-10, 9% -861 | New York Mets |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-9, 40% -465 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -46 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-6, 14% -461 | New York Mets |
| When Kodai Senga Starts | 1-0, 100% 38 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 1-4, 20% -300 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-23, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-28, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-8, 27% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kodai Senga STARTS | 1-11, 8% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS | 6-11, 35% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 29-15, 66% +880 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 26-18, 59% +547 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-2, 78% +450 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-5, 55% +43
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 27-17, 61% +313 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 27-17, 61% +334 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-3, 67% +153 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -186
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 19-18, 51% -80 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 30-14, 68% + 1460 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470
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