July 11, 2025 8:37 AM EST

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants 7/11/2025

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The San Francisco Giants are 25-17 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 23-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Logan Webb has a 52% chance of a QS and Dustin May a 53% chance. If Logan Webb has a quality start the Giants has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 52%. If Dustin May has a quality start the Dodgers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Will D. Smith who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-18, 56% -274Record at Home25-17, 60% 52San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants2-1, 67% 7VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-2, 33% -44Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better20-19, 51% -578vs Team .500 or Better23-18, 56% 365San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% -21Record As Home Favorite21-17, 55% -348Los Angeles Dodgers
When Dustin May Starts9-6, 60% -83When Logan Webb Starts10-9, 53% -159Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-1, 86% 212Record at Home3-6, 33% -402Los Angeles Dodgers
VS San Francisco Giants2-1, 67% 7VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-2, 33% -44Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team Under .50016-4, 80% 360vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -301Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite3-6, 33% -402Los Angeles Dodgers
When Dustin May Starts3-1, 75% 49When Logan Webb Starts3-2, 60% 66San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-21, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-25, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON49-38, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Dustin May STARTS6-8, 43% OverOVER-UNDER IN Logan Webb STARTS9-9, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 17-24, 41% -1602 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 23-19, 55% +236 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-3, 57% -300 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-3, 67% +371

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 24-17, 59% -19 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 21-21, 50% -654 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-1, 86% +212 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-6, 33% -402

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 18-17, 51% -70 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30

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