June 23, 2022 12:29 PM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/23/2022

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-13 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 18-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jason Alexander has a 40% chance of a QS and Dakota Hudson a 44% chance. If Jason Alexander has a quality start the Brewers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.2 and he has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 65%. If Dakota Hudson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Willy Adames who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-18, 50% -177Record at Home16-13, 55% -397St. Louis Cardinals
VS Milwaukee Brewers5-5, 50% 46VS St. Louis Cardinals5-5, 50% -124St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better16-19, 46% -252vs Team .500 or Better14-19, 42% -657St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog6-13, 32% -628Record As Home Favorite16-11, 59% -197Milwaukee Brewers
When Dakota Hudson Starts7-6, 54% 50When Jason Alexander Starts2-2, 50% -23St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-8, 38% -369Record at Home2-7, 22% -554St. Louis Cardinals
VS Milwaukee Brewers3-3, 50% 4VS St. Louis Cardinals3-3, 50% -63St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .50011-10, 52% -157vs Team .500 or Better7-11, 39% -500St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -403Record As Home Favorite2-5, 29% -354Milwaukee Brewers
When Dakota Hudson Starts3-2, 60% 142When Jason Alexander Starts2-2, 50% -23St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-18, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-15, 48% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-39, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Dakota Hudson STARTS7-6, 54% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jason Alexander STARTS1-3, 25% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1288 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 13-16, 45% -595 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -256 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 2-7, 22% -541

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 20-16, 56% -128 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-13, 55% -321 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +257 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 3-6, 33% -380

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 17-12, 59% + 380 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 15-12, 56% + 180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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