The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-13 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 18-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jason Alexander has a 40% chance of a QS and Dakota Hudson a 44% chance. If Jason Alexander has a quality start the Brewers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.2 and he has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 65%. If Dakota Hudson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Willy Adames who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-18, 50% -177 | Record at Home | 16-13, 55% -397 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 5-5, 50% 46 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 5-5, 50% -124 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-19, 46% -252 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-19, 42% -657 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-13, 32% -628 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-11, 59% -197 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Dakota Hudson Starts | 7-6, 54% 50 | When Jason Alexander Starts | 2-2, 50% -23 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -369 | Record at Home | 2-7, 22% -554 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 3-3, 50% 4 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% -63 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-10, 52% -157 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-11, 39% -500 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -403 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-5, 29% -354 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Dakota Hudson Starts | 3-2, 60% 142 | When Jason Alexander Starts | 2-2, 50% -23 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-18, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-15, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-39, 51% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dakota Hudson STARTS | 7-6, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jason Alexander STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1288 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 13-16, 45% -595 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -256 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 2-7, 22% -541
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 20-16, 56% -128 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-13, 55% -321 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +257 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 3-6, 33% -380
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 17-12, 59% + 380 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 15-12, 56% + 180 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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