The San Diego Padres are 18-14 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 17-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Joe Musgrove is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Ranger Suarez. Joe Musgrove has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ranger Suarez has a 30% chance of a QS. If Joe Musgrove has a quality start the Padres has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 58%. In Ranger Suarez quality starts the Phillies win 64%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-16, 52% 118 | Record at Home | 18-14, 56% -162 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-2, 33% -133 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-1, 67% 114 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 15-20, 43% -345 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-15, 55% 398 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-10, 47% 187 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-11, 59% -56 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 8-5, 62% 204 | When Joe Musgrove Starts | 11-1, 92% 755 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-7, 53% -73 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -273 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-8, 20% -616 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -238 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-6, 33% -251 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-6, 54% -173 | San Diego Padres |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 2-3, 40% -142 | When Joe Musgrove Starts | 3-1, 75% 131 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-10, 69% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-22, 29% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-5, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-10, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-36, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Joe Musgrove STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 14-19, 42% -622 San Diego Padres Home Games: 14-18, 44% -396 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-10, 33% -519 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-9, 36% -213
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 16-17, 48% -581 San Diego Padres Home Games: 19-13, 59% -6 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 10-5, 67% +147 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-6, 57% -64
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 14-11, 56% + 190 San Diego Padres Home Games: 14-16, 47% -360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-9, 25% -690
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