June 23, 2022 12:29 PM CDT

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres 6/23/2022

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The San Diego Padres are 18-14 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 17-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Joe Musgrove is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Ranger Suarez. Joe Musgrove has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ranger Suarez has a 30% chance of a QS. If Joe Musgrove has a quality start the Padres has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 58%. In Ranger Suarez quality starts the Phillies win 64%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-16, 52% 118Record at Home18-14, 56% -162Philadelphia Phillies
VS San Diego Padres1-2, 33% -133VS Philadelphia Phillies2-1, 67% 114San Diego Padres
vs Team .500 or Better15-20, 43% -345vs Team .500 or Better18-15, 55% 398San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog9-10, 47% 187Record As Home Favorite16-11, 59% -56Philadelphia Phillies
When Ranger Suarez Starts8-5, 62% 204When Joe Musgrove Starts11-1, 92% 755San Diego Padres

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-7, 53% -73Record at Home7-7, 50% -273Philadelphia Phillies
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS Philadelphia Phillies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-8, 20% -616vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -238San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -251Record As Home Favorite7-6, 54% -173San Diego Padres
When Ranger Suarez Starts2-3, 40% -142When Joe Musgrove Starts3-1, 75% 131San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-10, 69% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-22, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-5, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-10, 23% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-36, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS9-4, 69% OverOVER-UNDER IN Joe Musgrove STARTS6-6, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 14-19, 42% -622 San Diego Padres Home Games: 14-18, 44% -396 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-10, 33% -519 San Diego Padres Home Games: 5-9, 36% -213

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 16-17, 48% -581 San Diego Padres Home Games: 19-13, 59% -6 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 10-5, 67% +147 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-6, 57% -64

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 14-11, 56% + 190 San Diego Padres Home Games: 14-16, 47% -360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-9, 25% -690

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