The New York Yankees are 28-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 23-14 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter Jameson Taillon is forecasted to have a better game than Astros\' starter Framber Valdez. Jameson Taillon has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Framber Valdez has a 38% chance of a QS. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Yankees has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 65%. In Framber Valdez quality starts the Astros win 68%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 55% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
Houston Astros | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 23-14, 62% 309 | Record at Home | 28-7, 80% 723 | New York Yankees |
VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 11-8, 58% 6 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-12, 68% 652 | New York Yankees |
Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 107 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-7, 80% 723 | New York Yankees |
When Framber Valdez Starts | 8-5, 62% -6 | When Jameson Taillon Starts | 11-2, 85% 623 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
Houston Astros | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
---|
Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 100 | Record at Home | 13-0, 100% 622 | New York Yankees |
VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 5-1, 83% 221 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 120 | Houston Astros |
Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 13-0, 100% 622 | New York Yankees |
When Framber Valdez Starts | 4-1, 80% 114 | When Jameson Taillon Starts | 5-0, 100% 416 | New York Yankees |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Houston Astros | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
---|
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-25, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-19, 44% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-35, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-42, 44% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 4-9, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 17-20, 46% -764 New York Yankees Home Games: 16-19, 46% -910 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-6, 50% -312 New York Yankees Home Games: 8-5, 62% -145
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 19-18, 51% -387 New York Yankees Home Games: 28-7, 80% +787 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-6, 50% -254 New York Yankees Home Games: 12-1, 92% +445
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 16-15, 52% -50 New York Yankees Home Games: 14-15, 48% -250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 1-9, 10% -890 New York Yankees Home Games: 2-7, 22% -570
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game