The Minnesota Twins are 20-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 19-18 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Devin Smeltzer is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians\' starter Zach Plesac. Devin Smeltzer has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zach Plesac has a 31% chance of a QS. If Devin Smeltzer has a quality start the Twins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.9 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 71%. In Zach Plesac quality starts the Guardians win 64%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-18, 51% 319 | Record at Home | 20-15, 57% -52 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 2-2, 50% 59 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 2-2, 50% -70 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-14, 46% 229 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-14, 50% 262 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-14, 42% 31 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-7, 70% 286 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Zach Plesac Starts | 6-8, 43% 36 | When Devin Smeltzer Starts | 5-2, 71% 311 | Minnesota Twins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 387 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -193 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 1-0, 100% 153 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-1, 0% -100 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-4, 76% 587 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-4, 43% 95 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-4, 43% 129 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -253 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Zach Plesac Starts | 3-2, 60% 168 | When Devin Smeltzer Starts | 4-1, 80% 336 | Minnesota Twins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-18, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-18, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Zach Plesac STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Devin Smeltzer STARTS | 5-1, 83% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 11-26, 30% -1584 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 10-25, 29% -1696 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-11, 27% -896 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -193
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 18-19, 49% -721 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 21-14, 60% -37 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-10, 33% -728 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-8, 38% -509
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 18-17, 51% -70 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 19-12, 61% + 580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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