June 23, 2022 12:29 PM CDT

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins 6/23/2022

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The Minnesota Twins are 20-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 19-18 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins\' starter Devin Smeltzer is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians\' starter Zach Plesac. Devin Smeltzer has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zach Plesac has a 31% chance of a QS. If Devin Smeltzer has a quality start the Twins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.9 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 71%. In Zach Plesac quality starts the Guardians win 64%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 47% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-18, 51% 319Record at Home20-15, 57% -52Cleveland Guardians
VS Minnesota Twins2-2, 50% 59VS Cleveland Guardians2-2, 50% -70Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better12-14, 46% 229vs Team .500 or Better14-14, 50% 262Minnesota Twins
Record As Road Underdog10-14, 42% 31Record As Home Favorite16-7, 70% 286Minnesota Twins
When Zach Plesac Starts6-8, 43% 36When Devin Smeltzer Starts5-2, 71% 311Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-6, 60% 387Record at Home6-7, 46% -193Cleveland Guardians
VS Minnesota Twins1-0, 100% 153VS Cleveland Guardians0-1, 0% -100Cleveland Guardians
vs Team Under .50013-4, 76% 587vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% 95Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43% 129Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -253Cleveland Guardians
When Zach Plesac Starts3-2, 60% 168When Devin Smeltzer Starts4-1, 80% 336Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-18, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-18, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-34, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Zach Plesac STARTS8-6, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Devin Smeltzer STARTS5-1, 83% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 11-26, 30% -1584 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 10-25, 29% -1696 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-11, 27% -896 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -193

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 18-19, 49% -721 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 21-14, 60% -37 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-10, 33% -728 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-8, 38% -509

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 18-17, 51% -70 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 19-12, 61% + 580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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