The Pittsburgh Pirates are 16-19 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 12-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates\' starter Jose Quintana is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Justin Steele. Jose Quintana has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Steele has a 42% chance of a QS. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Pirates has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 57%. In Justin Steele quality starts the Cubs win 69%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-18, 40% -253 | Record at Home | 16-19, 46% -146 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-7, 36% -413 | VS Chicago Cubs | 7-4, 64% 412 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-16, 41% -578 | vs Team Under .500 | 18-14, 56% 387 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-4, 33% -233 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-13, 41% -77 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Justin Steele Starts | 5-7, 42% -71 | When Jose Quintana Starts | 6-6, 50% 276 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-9, 18% -674 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% 6 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Chicago Cubs | 2-0, 100% 157 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-8, 33% -361 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 32 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-3, 50% 86 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Justin Steele Starts | 2-3, 40% -30 | When Jose Quintana Starts | 1-4, 20% -185 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-15, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-19, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-43, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Justin Steele STARTS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-17, 43% -484 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 17-18, 49% +10 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-6, 45% -270 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-7, 42% -194
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-17, 43% -800 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 19-16, 54% -264 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-5, 55% -123 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-6, 50% -162
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 17-12, 59% + 380 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 13-18, 42% -680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
