June 23, 2022 12:29 PM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6/23/2022

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 16-19 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 12-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates\' starter Jose Quintana is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Justin Steele. Jose Quintana has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Justin Steele has a 42% chance of a QS. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Pirates has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 57%. In Justin Steele quality starts the Cubs win 69%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Chicago CubsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-18, 40% -253Record at Home16-19, 46% -146Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates4-7, 36% -413VS Chicago Cubs7-4, 64% 412Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50011-16, 41% -578vs Team Under .50018-14, 56% 387Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite2-4, 33% -233Record as Home Underdog9-13, 41% -77Pittsburgh Pirates
When Justin Steele Starts5-7, 42% -71When Jose Quintana Starts6-6, 50% 276Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Chicago CubsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-9, 18% -674Record at Home6-6, 50% 6Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-2, 0% -200VS Chicago Cubs2-0, 100% 157Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .5004-8, 33% -361vs Team Under .5005-4, 56% 32Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite0-3, 0% -300Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% 86Pittsburgh Pirates
When Justin Steele Starts2-3, 40% -30When Jose Quintana Starts1-4, 20% -185Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-15, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-19, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Justin Steele STARTS7-5, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS5-6, 45% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-17, 43% -484 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 17-18, 49% +10 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-6, 45% -270 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-7, 42% -194

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-17, 43% -800 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 19-16, 54% -264 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-5, 55% -123 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-6, 50% -162

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 17-12, 59% + 380 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 13-18, 42% -680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370

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