June 22, 2022 8:38 AM CDT

New York Mets vs Houston Astros 6/22/2022

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The Houston Astros are 19-11 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 21-15 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Luis Garcia is forecasted to have a better game than Mets\' starter Carlos Carrasco. Luis Garcia has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Carlos Carrasco has a 33% chance of a QS. If Luis Garcia has a quality start the Astros has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 68%. In Carlos Carrasco quality starts the Mets win 61%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 48% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-15, 58% 450Record at Home19-11, 63% -30New York Mets
VS Houston Astros0-1, 0% -100VS New York Mets1-0, 100% 82Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better25-16, 61% 667vs Team .500 or Better11-8, 58% 6New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog8-7, 53% 323Record As Home Favorite19-9, 68% 170New York Mets
When Carlos Carrasco Starts7-5, 58% 10When Luis Garcia Starts6-5, 55% -118New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% -72Record at Home7-6, 54% -218New York Mets
VS Houston Astros0-1, 0% -100VS New York Mets1-0, 100% 82Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better7-7, 50% 75vs Team .500 or Better5-2, 71% 121Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog5-6, 45% 53Record As Home Favorite7-6, 54% -218New York Mets
When Carlos Carrasco Starts4-1, 80% 178When Luis Garcia Starts2-3, 40% -173New York Mets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-18, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-19, 37% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-4, 71% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-37, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Carlos Carrasco STARTS8-4, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Luis Garcia STARTS4-7, 36% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 17-19, 47% -531 Houston Astros Home Games: 18-12, 60% +221 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-7, 50% -58 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-5, 62% +197

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 21-15, 58% +227 Houston Astros Home Games: 19-11, 63% -25 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-6, 57% +81 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-6, 54% -218

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 21-9, 70% + 1110 Houston Astros Home Games: 17-11, 61% + 490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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