June 12, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 6/12/2019

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The Baltimore Orioles are 8-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 11-20 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles\' starter David Hess is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Edwin Jackson. David Hess has a 31% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Edwin Jackson has a 17% chance of a QS. If David Hess has a quality start the Orioles has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 65%. In Edwin Jackson quality starts the Blue Jays win 76%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 76% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Trey Mancini who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Smoak who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 56% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-20, 35% -570Record at Home8-23, 26% -1304Toronto Blue Jays
VS Baltimore Orioles1-2, 33% -139VS Toronto Blue Jays2-1, 67% 221Baltimore Orioles
vs Team Under .5007-14, 33% -833vs Team Under .5008-10, 44% 5Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -10Record as Home Underdog6-21, 22% -1270Toronto Blue Jays
When Edwin Jackson Starts0-5, 0% -500When David Hess Starts3-9, 25% -461Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-9, 25% -615Record at Home2-8, 20% -600Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-6, 33% -274vs Team Under .5003-7, 30% -353Toronto Blue Jays
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -10Record as Home Underdog1-6, 14% -488Toronto Blue Jays
When Edwin Jackson Starts0-5, 0% -500When David Hess Starts0-4, 0% -400Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-17, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-12, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-8, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-29, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Edwin Jackson STARTS3-2, 60% OverOVER-UNDER IN David Hess STARTS9-2, 82% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 14-17, 45% -10 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 19-12, 61% +262 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-4, 67% +483 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-4, 60% -11

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 19-12, 61% +9 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 22-9, 71% +487 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-3, 75% +266 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-4, 60% -11

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 16-10, 62% + 500 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 19-9, 68% + 910 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-0, 100% + 1000

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