June 12, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox 6/12/2019

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The Boston Red Sox are 15-16 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 11-18 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Rick Porcello is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Lance Lynn. Rick Porcello has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lance Lynn has a 29% chance of a QS. If Rick Porcello has a quality start the Red Sox has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 67%. In Lance Lynn quality starts the Rangers win 67%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is J.D. Martinez who averaged 2.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Shin-Soo Choo who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 47% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-18, 38% -447Record at Home15-16, 48% -719Texas Rangers
VS Boston Red Sox1-0, 100% 220VS Texas Rangers0-1, 0% -100Texas Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better12-15, 44% 347vs Team .500 or Better14-22, 39% -971Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog10-18, 36% -524Record As Home Favorite14-14, 50% -659Texas Rangers
When Lance Lynn Starts9-5, 64% 361When Rick Porcello Starts8-6, 57% -68Texas Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 374Record at Home4-9, 31% -579Texas Rangers
VS Boston Red Sox1-0, 100% 220VS Texas Rangers0-1, 0% -100Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50016-7, 70% 953vs Team .500 or Better5-11, 31% -588Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog5-4, 56% 297Record As Home Favorite3-7, 30% -519Texas Rangers
When Lance Lynn Starts3-2, 60% 25When Rick Porcello Starts3-3, 50% -108Texas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-11, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-13, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-45, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-41, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Lance Lynn STARTS5-9, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Rick Porcello STARTS10-4, 71% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 10-19, 34% -877 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 17-14, 55% +172 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-8, 20% -510 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-6, 54% +371

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 15-14, 52% -426 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 16-15, 52% -556 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 4-6, 40% -307 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-8, 38% -416

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 12-11, 52% -10 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 16-12, 57% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270

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