June 12, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants 6/12/2019

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The San Diego Padres are 15-13 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 11-20 at home. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Drew Pomeranz has a 39% chance of a QS and Joey Lucchesi a 41% chance. If Drew Pomeranz has a quality start the Giants has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 48%. If Joey Lucchesi has a quality start the Padres has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Buster Posey who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Eric Hosmer who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 73% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-13, 54% 373Record at Home11-20, 35% -827San Diego Padres
VS San Francisco Giants5-2, 71% 215VS San Diego Padres2-5, 29% -283San Diego Padres
vs Team Under .50018-15, 55% 87vs Team Under .50012-14, 46% -69San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite4-2, 67% 139Record as Home Underdog7-16, 30% -726San Diego Padres
When Joey Lucchesi Starts7-6, 54% -59When Drew Pomeranz Starts5-6, 45% 74San Francisco Giants

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

San Diego PadresRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -176Record at Home3-9, 25% -543San Diego Padres
VS San Francisco Giants0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-4, 43% -152vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% 35San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite2-1, 67% 66Record as Home Underdog2-7, 22% -411San Diego Padres
When Joey Lucchesi Starts3-2, 60% 29When Drew Pomeranz Starts2-2, 50% 145San Francisco Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-10, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-13, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-42, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Joey Lucchesi STARTS7-5, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Drew Pomeranz STARTS4-7, 36% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 13-15, 46% -317 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 13-18, 42% -656 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-3, 62% +75 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 5-7, 42% -303

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 13-15, 46% -536 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 20-11, 65% +472 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-2, 75% +260 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 9-3, 75% +370

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 14-10, 58% + 300 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 16-12, 57% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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