June 12, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves 6/12/2019

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The Atlanta Braves are 17-15 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 17-16 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves\' starter Mike Soroka is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Mitch Keller. Mike Soroka has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitch Keller has a 12% chance of a QS. If Mike Soroka has a quality start the Braves has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 81%. In Mitch Keller quality starts the Pirates win 48%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Culberson who averaged 3.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 85% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Josh Bell who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 34% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-16, 52% 555Record at Home17-15, 53% -224Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Atlanta Braves2-2, 50% 8VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-2, 50% -73Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team .500 or Better17-30, 36% -1129vs Team Under .50018-11, 62% 173Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog14-16, 47% 304Record As Home Favorite13-13, 50% -443Pittsburgh Pirates
When Mitch Keller Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Mike Soroka Starts7-3, 70% 131Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% 14Record at Home7-5, 58% -19Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Atlanta Braves2-2, 50% 8VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-2, 50% -73Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team .500 or Better5-15, 25% -993vs Team Under .50011-6, 65% 285Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog6-8, 43% 14Record As Home Favorite6-3, 67% 88Atlanta Braves
When Mitch Keller Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Mike Soroka Starts4-1, 80% 131Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-16, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-12, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-5, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-3, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS2-7, 22% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 21-12, 64% +698 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 15-17, 47% -538 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 10-4, 71% +748 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-6, 50% -188

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 19-14, 58% -66 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 14-18, 44% -850 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-6, 57% -92 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-5, 58% -19

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 13-14, 48% -240 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 18-12, 60% + 480 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470

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