June 12, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros 6/12/2019

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The Houston Astros are 24-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 16-15 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Justin Verlander is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers\' starter Brandon Woodruff. Justin Verlander has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Woodruff has a 40% chance of a QS. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Astros has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 57%. In Brandon Woodruff quality starts the Brewers win 65%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-15, 52% 146Record at Home24-9, 73% 414Houston Astros
VS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better19-20, 49% -249vs Team .500 or Better28-17, 62% 80Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog11-11, 50% 146Record As Home Favorite24-9, 73% 414Houston Astros
When Brandon Woodruff Starts11-2, 85% 615When Justin Verlander Starts11-3, 79% 223Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 219Record at Home8-5, 62% -69Milwaukee Brewers
VS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesVS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better7-8, 47% -195vs Team .500 or Better5-2, 71% 97Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 11Record As Home Favorite8-5, 62% -69Milwaukee Brewers
When Brandon Woodruff Starts5-0, 100% 335When Justin Verlander Starts4-1, 80% 78Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Milwaukee BrewersRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-19, 37% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME13-19, 41% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-10, 23% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-45, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-43, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Woodruff STARTS8-5, 62% OverOVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS4-10, 29% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 15-16, 48% -299 Houston Astros Home Games: 21-12, 64% -39 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -377 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-6, 54% -220

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 16-15, 52% -261 Houston Astros Home Games: 24-9, 73% +414 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +126 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-5, 62% -69

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 11-18, 38% -880 Houston Astros Home Games: 13-17, 43% -570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-8, 27% -580

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