June 12, 2019 7:08 AM CDT

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 6/12/2019

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-12 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 20-16 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies\' starter Zach Eflin is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks\' starter Merrill Kelly. Zach Eflin has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Merrill Kelly has a 25% chance of a QS. If Zach Eflin has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 70%. In Merrill Kelly quality starts the Diamondbacks win 53%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 2.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Eduardo Escobar who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 49% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-16, 56% 615Record at Home23-12, 66% 347Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Philadelphia Phillies1-0, 100% 119VS Arizona Diamondbacks0-1, 0% -100Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better19-28, 40% -698vs Team Under .50017-12, 59% 39Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog15-14, 52% 421Record As Home Favorite23-12, 66% 347Arizona Diamondbacks
When Merrill Kelly Starts5-6, 45% -105When Zach Eflin Starts6-6, 50% -80Philadelphia Phillies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -44Record at Home8-6, 57% -36Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies1-0, 100% 119VS Arizona Diamondbacks0-1, 0% -100Arizona Diamondbacks
vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -260vs Team .500 or Better6-8, 43% -336Arizona Diamondbacks
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -250Record As Home Favorite8-6, 57% -36Philadelphia Phillies
When Merrill Kelly Starts3-1, 75% 186When Zach Eflin Starts1-3, 25% -221Arizona Diamondbacks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona DiamondbacksRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-16, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-18, 45% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Merrill Kelly STARTS4-6, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zach Eflin STARTS5-7, 42% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 18-18, 50% -310 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 20-15, 57% +60 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-7, 50% -144 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-9, 36% -549

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 22-14, 61% +305 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 22-13, 63% +260 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 10-4, 71% +417 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-7, 50% -221

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 17-16, 52% -60 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 14-18, 44% -580 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-8, 38% -380

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