The Kansas City Royals are 6-17 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 10-12 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Jordan Lyles is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Patrick Corbin. Jordan Lyles has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Patrick Corbin has a 37% chance of a QS. If Jordan Lyles has a quality start the Royals has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 62%. In Patrick Corbin quality starts the Nationals win 64%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Vinnie Pasquantino who averaged 2.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Keibert Ruiz who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-12, 45% 452 | Record at Home | 6-17, 26% -1041 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-9, 47% 134 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-7, 46% 104 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-12, 45% 452 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-3, 25% -209 | Washington Nationals |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 5-5, 50% 289 | When Jordan Lyles Starts | 0-10, 0% -1000 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -66 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% 53 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% 246 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -241 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-7, 36% -66 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-2, 33% -109 | Washington Nationals |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 3-2, 60% 169 | When Jordan Lyles Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-11, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-10, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Lyles STARTS | 5-5, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 12-10, 55% +377 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 14-9, 61% +372 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% +103 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 7-3, 70% +430
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 12-10, 55% -312 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 16-7, 70% +455 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-4, 64% +21 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 4-6, 40% -270
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-11, 45% -310 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 10-12, 45% -320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
