The Minnesota Twins are 14-8 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 12-13 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Louie Varland. Kevin Gausman has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Louie Varland has a 48% chance of a QS. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 49%. In Louie Varland quality starts the Twins win 72%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Jorge Polanco who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Matt Chapman who averaged 2.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-13, 48% -350 | Record at Home | 14-8, 64% 190 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 14-15, 48% -187 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-10, 47% -52 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 8-9, 47% -372 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-0, 100% 232 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 4-6, 40% -399 | When Louie Varland Starts | 2-2, 50% 28 | Minnesota Twins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -388 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 113 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-1, 83% 246 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-7, 30% -350 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-4, 43% -188 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-0, 100% 232 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Kevin Gausman Starts | 1-4, 20% -355 | When Louie Varland Starts | 2-2, 50% 28 | Minnesota Twins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-10, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 8-12, 40% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-2, 78% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-39, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-44, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Louie Varland STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-14, 44% -417 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 12-10, 55% +390 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 4-5, 44% -111 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-4, 64% +397
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 13-12, 52% -134 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 13-9, 59% +61 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-6, 33% -323 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-3, 73% +335
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-13, 35% -730 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 13-7, 65% + 530 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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