The Cleveland Guardians are 9-11 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 10-12 on the road this season. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore. Shane Bieber has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Liberatore has a 35% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Guardians has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 66%. In Matthew Liberatore quality starts the Cardinals win 64%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-12, 45% -283 | Record at Home | 9-11, 45% -315 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% -96 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-14, 48% -282 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% -330 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-8, 38% -469 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 1-0, 100% 102 | When Shane Bieber Starts | 3-7, 30% -523 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 142 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 140 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 235 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% -81 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 170 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -108 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 1-0, 100% 102 | When Shane Bieber Starts | 2-3, 40% -176 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-11, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-12, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-7, 22% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shane Bieber STARTS | 3-7, 30% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 11-11, 50% -179 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-12, 40% -310 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -215 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-6, 40% -213
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 15-7, 68% +437 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-13, 35% -813 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-6, 45% -198 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-6, 40% -329
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 12-4, 75% + 760 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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