The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-9 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 8-12 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Giants starter Alex Wood. Freddy Peralta has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alex Wood has a 26% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 64%. In Alex Wood quality starts the Giants win 52%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Javier Guerra who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is LaMonte Wade Jr. who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 8-12, 40% -278 | Record at Home | 12-9, 57% -53 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 60 | VS San Francisco Giants | 1-2, 33% -80 | San Francisco Giants |
vs Team .500 or Better | 9-11, 45% -157 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-12, 43% -368 | San Francisco Giants |
Record As Road Underdog | 7-7, 50% 154 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-6, 65% 107 | San Francisco Giants |
When Alex Wood Starts | 3-1, 75% 235 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-5, 38% -303 | San Francisco Giants |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -244 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 134 | Milwaukee Brewers |
VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 60 | VS San Francisco Giants | 1-2, 33% -80 | San Francisco Giants |
vs Team Under .500 | 3-5, 38% -300 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-12, 37% -533 | San Francisco Giants |
Record As Road Underdog | 2-4, 33% -112 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-1, 88% 334 | Milwaukee Brewers |
When Alex Wood Starts | 1-0, 100% 81 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 2-2, 50% -67 | San Francisco Giants |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-11, 45% Over | N/A |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-41, 47% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Alex Wood STARTS | 2-2, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 8-12, 40% -398 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-12, 43% -549 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 3-6, 33% -270 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-3, 70% +134
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 10-10, 50% -186 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 13-8, 62% +34 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-3, 67% +119 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-2, 80% +299
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 12-8, 60% + 320 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 11-5, 69% + 550 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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