May 26, 2023 3:48 PM CDT

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners 5/26/2023

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The Seattle Mariners are 10-12 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-11 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter George Kirby is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mitch Keller. George Kirby has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitch Keller has a 51% chance of a QS. If George Kirby has a quality start the Mariners has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 59%. In Mitch Keller quality starts the Pirates win 67%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Jarred Kelenic who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Jack Suwinski who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-11, 54% 433Record at Home10-12, 45% -566Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50016-9, 64% 714vs Team .500 or Better7-14, 33% -764Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog9-10, 47% 220Record As Home Favorite9-9, 50% -366Pittsburgh Pirates
When Mitch Keller Starts7-3, 70% 470When George Kirby Starts5-5, 50% -213Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-7, 36% -319Record at Home3-3, 50% -67Seattle Mariners
VS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-4, 33% -257vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 108Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -362Record As Home Favorite2-3, 40% -167Seattle Mariners
When Mitch Keller Starts3-2, 60% 102When George Kirby Starts3-3, 50% -122Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PiratesRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-12, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-10, 52% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON34-41, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-46, 41% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS4-5, 44% OverOVER-UNDER IN George Kirby STARTS4-5, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-15, 38% -662 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 13-9, 59% +389 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-6, 45% -238 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-1, 83% +503

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-15, 38% -885 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 13-9, 59% +1 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-5, 55% -77 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 3-3, 50% -67

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-11, 42% -410 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 8-8, 50% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230

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