The Seattle Mariners are 10-12 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-11 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter George Kirby is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Mitch Keller. George Kirby has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitch Keller has a 51% chance of a QS. If George Kirby has a quality start the Mariners has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 59%. In Mitch Keller quality starts the Pirates win 67%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Jarred Kelenic who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Jack Suwinski who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 13-11, 54% 433 | Record at Home | 10-12, 45% -566 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 16-9, 64% 714 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-14, 33% -764 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
Record As Road Underdog | 9-10, 47% 220 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-9, 50% -366 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
When Mitch Keller Starts | 7-3, 70% 470 | When George Kirby Starts | 5-5, 50% -213 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -319 | Record at Home | 3-3, 50% -67 | Seattle Mariners |
VS Seattle Mariners | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 2-4, 33% -257 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 108 | Seattle Mariners |
Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -362 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-3, 40% -167 | Seattle Mariners |
When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-2, 60% 102 | When George Kirby Starts | 3-3, 50% -122 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-12, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-10, 52% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-41, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN George Kirby STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-15, 38% -662 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 13-9, 59% +389 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-6, 45% -238 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-1, 83% +503
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-15, 38% -885 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 13-9, 59% +1 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-5, 55% -77 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 3-3, 50% -67
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-11, 42% -410 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 8-8, 50% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230
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