The Atlanta Braves are 12-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 9-16 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jared Shuster has a 29% chance of a QS and Taijuan Walker a 25% chance. If Jared Shuster has a quality start the Braves has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.7 and he has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 61%. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 42%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-16, 36% -829 | Record at Home | 12-10, 55% -391 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-14, 30% -798 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -498 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-12, 20% -840 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-10, 55% -391 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 6-4, 60% 83 | When Jared Shuster Starts | 1-1, 50% -15 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -437 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% -59 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -556 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-4, 69% 187 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -370 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -59 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Taijuan Walker Starts | 4-2, 67% 130 | When Jared Shuster Starts | 1-1, 50% -15 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-13, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-7, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-42, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Taijuan Walker STARTS | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jared Shuster STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 11-14, 44% -678 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-14, 36% -712 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-7, 42% -249 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-7, 30% -427
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 15-10, 60% +65 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 13-9, 59% -142 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-5, 58% -11 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -244
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 14-11, 56% + 190 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 10-10, 50% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
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