The Chicago Cubs are 11-11 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 7-15 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Hunter Greene is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Caleb Kilian. Hunter Greene has a 40% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Caleb Kilian has a 31% chance of a QS. If Hunter Greene has a quality start the Reds has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 52%. In Caleb Kilian quality starts the Cubs win 74%. He has a 2% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Ian Happ who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 2.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-15, 32% -622 | Record at Home | 11-11, 50% -18 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-1, 50% 2 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-1, 50% -26 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-13, 46% -56 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-12, 37% -286 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-13, 32% -484 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-7, 42% -332 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 2-8, 20% -616 | When Caleb Kilian Starts | 0-0 No Games | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 120 | Record at Home | 4-4, 50% -66 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 244 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-6, 33% -275 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-4, 56% 258 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-3, 40% -178 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 1-4, 20% -338 | When Caleb Kilian Starts | 0-0 No Games | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-10, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-11, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-4, 43% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-42, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Caleb Kilian STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 9-13, 41% -541 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 13-9, 59% +336 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-7, 42% -263 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -84
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 14-8, 64% +122 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 11-11, 50% -176 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-5, 58% +39 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-4, 50% -84
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 13-7, 65% + 530 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-11, 42% -410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70
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