The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-10 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 11-10 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Brandon Pfaadt has a 34% chance of a QS and Chris Sale a 39% chance. If Brandon Pfaadt has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 47%. If Chris Sale has a quality start the Red Sox has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Corbin Carroll who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Adam Duvall who averaged 3.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-10, 52% 296 | Record at Home | 14-10, 58% 238 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 15-14, 52% 268 | vs Team .500 or Better | 13-7, 65% 794 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-1, 75% 134 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-6, 45% 50 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Chris Sale Starts | 6-3, 67% 248 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 3-1, 75% 254 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% 234 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 90 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -198 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-5, 58% 164 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 116 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Chris Sale Starts | 3-1, 75% 223 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 3-1, 75% 254 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-12, 45% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-6, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-39, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chris Sale STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 8-13, 38% -419 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 12-12, 50% -98 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 4-5, 44% +26 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-6, 45% -268
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 10-11, 48% -322 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 13-11, 54% -172 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 4-5, 44% -130 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-4, 64% +60
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-12, 33% -720 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 11-9, 55% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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