The Cincinnati Reds are 12-12 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 10-12 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Luke Weaver has a 22% chance of a QS and Miles Mikolas a 24% chance. If Luke Weaver has a quality start the Reds has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 51%. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 54%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 3.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-12, 45% -283 | Record at Home | 12-12, 50% 79 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% -96 | vs Team Under .500 | 11-13, 46% -56 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-4, 60% 47 | Record as Home Underdog | 8-10, 44% -32 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 6-4, 60% 150 | When Luke Weaver Starts | 3-4, 43% 40 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 42 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% 27 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 235 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-6, 50% 123 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-2, 50% -28 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-5, 44% 48 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 4-1, 80% 332 | When Luke Weaver Starts | 3-3, 50% 140 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 9-11, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-10, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-38, 51% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 6-3, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luke Weaver STARTS | 5-2, 71% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 11-11, 50% -179 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-16, 33% -746 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 5-7, 42% -129 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-8, 27% -401
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 15-7, 68% +437 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 12-12, 50% -337 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -112 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-7, 36% -436
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 10-6, 62% + 340 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 9-14, 39% -640 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
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