May 16, 2019 7:58 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 5/15/2019

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Reds\' starter Sonny Gray is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs\' starter Yu Darvish. Sonny Gray has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Yu Darvish has a 23% chance of a QS. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Reds has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 56%. In Yu Darvish quality starts the Cubs win 64%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Joey Votto who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Willson Contreras who averaged 2.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 59% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-9, 53% -105Record at Home10-9, 53% -127Chicago Cubs
VS Cincinnati Reds1-1, 50% -26VS Chicago Cubs1-1, 50% -19Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .5009-5, 64% 73vs Team .500 or Better9-17, 35% -733Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog1-5, 17% -396Record As Home Favorite9-5, 64% 158Cincinnati Reds
When Yu Darvish Starts3-5, 38% -290When Sonny Gray Starts3-6, 33% -369Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-2, 78% 337Record at Home5-4, 56% -13Chicago Cubs
VS Cincinnati Reds1-1, 50% -26VS Chicago Cubs1-1, 50% -19Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better12-5, 71% 472vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -281Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite5-2, 71% 187Cincinnati Reds
When Yu Darvish Starts3-2, 60% 10When Sonny Gray Starts2-4, 33% -227Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDCincinnati RedsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-4, 76% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-11, 42% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-32, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Yu Darvish STARTS4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS4-5, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-11, 42% -666 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 9-10, 47% -329 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 3-6, 33% -519 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 3-6, 33% -376

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 10-9, 53% -84 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 11-8, 58% +19 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-4, 56% -14 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-4, 56% -28

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 11-5, 69% + 550 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-8, 50% -80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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