May 14, 2022 5:52 AM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 5/14/2022

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 10-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 7-10 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays\' starter Ryan Yarbrough is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Hyun-jin Ryu. Ryan Yarbrough has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hyun-jin Ryu has a 33% chance of a QS. If Ryan Yarbrough has a quality start the Rays has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 67%. In Hyun-jin Ryu quality starts the Blue Jays win 63%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Wender Franco who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Danny Jansen who averaged 3.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 50% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-10, 41% -312Record at Home10-7, 59% -54Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 109Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better7-9, 44% -184vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -103Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -236Record As Home Favorite9-6, 60% -63Tampa Bay Rays
When Hyun-jin Ryu Starts0-2, 0% -200When Ryan Yarbrough Starts1-1, 50% -22Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% -435Record at Home6-5, 55% -41Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 109Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better5-8, 38% -307vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -212Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog1-5, 17% -359Record As Home Favorite5-4, 56% -50Tampa Bay Rays
When Hyun-jin Ryu Starts0-1, 0% -100When Ryan Yarbrough Starts1-1, 50% -22Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Blue JaysRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME7-10, 41% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-47, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-38, 51% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Hyun-jin Ryu STARTS2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Ryan Yarbrough STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-10, 41% -581 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 10-7, 59% +166 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-9, 36% -611 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-6, 45% -79

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 10-7, 59% +135 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 11-6, 65% +157 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-6, 57% +12 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-4, 64% +170

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 8-8, 50% -80 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 9-8, 53% + 20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-7, 50% -70 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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