May 14, 2022 5:52 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves 5/14/2022

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The Atlanta Braves are 9-10 at home this season and the San Diego Padres are 11-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres\' starter Sean Manaea is forecasted to have a better game than Braves\' starter Charlie Morton. Sean Manaea has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 43% chance of a QS. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Padres has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 52%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Braves win 62%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Matt Olson who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-4, 73% 456Record at Home9-10, 47% -392San Diego Padres
VS Atlanta Braves3-2, 60% 99VS San Diego Padres2-3, 40% -107San Diego Padres
vs Team Under .50016-6, 73% 558vs Team .500 or Better7-8, 47% -50San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 266Record As Home Favorite8-9, 47% -385San Diego Padres
When Sean Manaea Starts2-4, 33% -272When Charlie Morton Starts2-4, 33% -265Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-1, 88% 433Record at Home6-6, 50% -169San Diego Padres
VS Atlanta Braves3-2, 60% 99VS San Diego Padres2-3, 40% -107San Diego Padres
vs Team Under .50016-6, 73% 558vs Team .500 or Better7-8, 47% -50San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog2-0, 100% 234Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -162San Diego Padres
When Sean Manaea Starts1-3, 25% -241When Charlie Morton Starts1-4, 20% -319San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-6, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-7, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-1, 88% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-35, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-39, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Sean Manaea STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS5-1, 83% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 10-5, 67% +225 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 11-8, 58% +371 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-1, 88% +277 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-5, 58% +264

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-6, 60% +59 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-10, 47% -398 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-3, 62% +29 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-6, 50% -175

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-11, 21% -910 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-10, 41% -400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 1-7, 12% -670 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370

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